Sebastian Baez vs Francisco Comesana Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

The upcoming tennis match between Comesana and Baez promises to be competitive, and a statistical analysis provides valuable insights into who might emerge victorious. When analyzing second serve performance over the last six months, Comesana has a slight edge, securing 48.28% of points on his second serve compared to Baez's 44.73%. This difference is significant, as the correlation between second serve performance and match prediction accuracy is notably high.

Examining return game statistics during the same period, Comesana again has a marginal advantage, with a 46.29% success rate against opponents' second serves compared to Baez's 45.21%. However, Baez outperforms on first-serve returns, winning 31.16% of points, while Comesana trails with 26.46%, an essential statistic for determining the favored player in their head-to-head matchups.

Under pressure situations, like breakpoint opportunities, provide further context. Comesana has shown resilience by saving 56.84% of breakpoints lately, whereas Baez's rate is somewhat lower at 51.52%. This performance under pressure is vital for predicting potential outcomes at critical match moments. Simultaneously, in recent form, Baez has converted 35.22% of his breakpoint opportunities versus Comesana's 32.39%, suggesting a knack for capitalizing on opponent vulnerabilities.

In terms of overall performance, Comesana boasts a win rate of 62.5% over the past year, whereas Baez's win percentage stands at 49.09%. Comesana's consistency is evident in his match wins (W/L 45/27) against Baez (W/L 27/28), providing an overview that leans in Comesana's favor. Both players exhibit remarkable skill on clay, their best career surface, with Baez having a slightly higher win percentage at 71% compared to Comesana's 66%.

Assessing their play at different competition levels, over the last year, Comesana primarily competed in Challenger/ITF events, achieving a 69.77% win ratio. In contrast, Baez frequented the main tour, with a 57.14% win record. The level of competition faced by each player is relatively different and influential when predicting a favorite. Head-to-head statistics indicate Baez holds an advantage, having won both encounters against Comesana, and emerging victorious in 4 of the 6 sets played between them. Their last meeting, characterized by a closely contested three-set match at the Movistar Chile Open, saw Baez triumph 6-3, 5-7, 7-6(5).

Direct H2H data details that Baez also has the upper hand in extreme pressure scenarios, winning their only tiebreak. Although an analysis indicates Comesana performs well in deciding sets, with a 74% win rate, Baez has triumphantly clinched their encounters in deciding sets against Comesana twice. Moreover, Comesana and Baez have faced opponents averaging rankings of 248.08 and 199.64, respectively, over the past year, suggesting Baez has encountered stiffer competition.

Looking at all these analytical aspects, Comesana's slightly superior track record and impressive stats on second serve performance and under pressure point to a potentially favorable outcome for him. However, Baez's track record in head-to-head matches, adaptability in main tour events, and proficiency in closing out crucial scenarios may tilt the scale in his favor. Considering these factors, Baez's experience and past successes against Comesana make him the likelier candidate to win this highly anticipated encounter.